Incendia Sparks

Is Niche Social Networks the Next Big Thing?

Dave's picture

So is this true? Well it seems to be what the social media experts were saying at the Milken Global Conference last week in Los Angeles, CA. People like Mike "Zappy" Zapolin, author of "Internet Warrior" and the creator of and was leading a panel of experts at the event. Mike states "Facebook is broader, Twitter is a different platform, but niche social network are more powerful for a specific vertical market, certain niche or business, certain age group or specific geographic area. Thats what could be the real breakout and there is an opportunity waiting...

Pareto Rule of Participation

Dan's picture

While researching and fact finding for my upcoming book (titled Quantifying Openness) I came across a startling number of phenomena that were Pareto or Power law distributed (or Zipfian in discrete cases) throughout the Internet and social media circles. We often see averages or peaks cited as usage statistics or membership statistics for social networks. Rarely do organizations quantify their publicly available statistics in meaningful ways.

Failing Banks, Inevitable Consolidation?

Dan's picture

We can certainly point to many Pareto or power law distributed phenomenon in the "natural" world as well as those created by man. The business world is certainly no exception. In addition, many industries or markets see disruptive events that don't necessarily mediate a redistribution of wealth but trigger a redistribution. Inevitably, the distribution seems to often reflect a pareto style distribution. Is the banking industry any different? Was the recession the disruptive event that set the events in motion for a redistribution of wealth among the banking industry?

Cognitive Bias and Heuristics in Online Open Systems

Dan's picture

My recent knol examines relevant heuristics and cognitive biases in open systems on the Internet
How accurate or objective are product reviews and ratings? How well do public (online) conversations reflect the actual views of the participants? Do cognitive biases, selection biases and heuristics influence public interactions, reviews, ratings, conversations, etc. in open systems? To what degree? What can be done to reduce bias? This working paper represents a thought project style (i.e. non-experimental) exploration of these issues.

To read more, view the knol here:

The Google Exposure? Considering Google and The Advertising "Bubble"

Dan's picture

I recently came across Doc Searles' article over at Linux Journal entitled "EOF - The Google Exposure" in which he discusses; "Advertising is a bubble. If that’s a true statement, Google is a bubble too. And if that’s true, many of the goods we take for granted on the Web are at risk. Let’s run down some evidence."

If you're interested in reading the article (I suggest you do) you can find it here:,0

Canadian Real Estate - Bubble Ready to Bust or Do Trees Really Grow To The Sky?

Dan's picture

This is a little off my normal topics, but I'd like to talk a bit about real estate prices today.

Destructive Internet Business Models Continued: Cinram Revenues Plunge

Dan's picture

I've hypothesized before that the Internet generally creates a destructive paradigm for the business models it seeks to replace (e.g. instead of adding value it just cannibalizes existing models through price point competition). In the newspaper industry for example, you can replace a relatively large economic supply chain of loggers, transport trucks, pulp mills, paper mills, printing presses, delivery trucks, professional journalists, paper boys to deliver newspapers to hundreds of thousands of homes, etc with a couple of servers that can accomplish the same thing.

Dell and $3 million in Sales via Twitter... Who Cares?

Dan's picture

Social Media Marketers all over the Internet are drooling over themselves at Dell's claims that they made $3 million dollars in sales via Twitter all for $0 cost. They're using these stories as testimonials to convince big brands that social media marketing is right for them. Statements like "Twitter Earns Brands Millions - For Free" are typical of their claims.

Predictably Irrational? Do people have no value meter or are we conditioned to be irrational?

Dan's picture

Dan Ariely wrote in his book "Predictably Irrational" that people don't have an internal value meter and that we rarely choose things in absolute terms. His specific quote (regarding the subscription options available at the time for the Economist) was:

The Great Canadian Refrigerator Experiment

Dan's picture

Ok, so not everything around here has to be serious, so when Rob posted on Facebook a definition of the "Canadian Refrigerator" we were motivated to perform some good (or quite possibly bad) science to confirm or deny this hypothesis.

For your reference, the definition states:

Canadian Refrigerator:
A bank or pile of snow during the colder months of winter, where food or beverage products (namely soda and beer) can be stored. Great for parties.

"Are we out of Molson Canadian?"
"There's plenty in the Canadian refrigerator."